liveMarket Report · last 7dbuilt 05:21 UTC
L1 fell 3.2% over the last 7 days to $0.1767, as sellers led by 11,081 wL1.
184 trades by 52 accounts moved $95,615, against 289 trades and $169,021 the window before; 71 dust trades (under $1) left out; each section below carries its own as-of.
Data as of 05:20 UTC · block 52,971,723 · updated ago · next publish due at 05:26 UTC
Built 23 Oct 05:21:57 UTC from the data this server holds.
Fear & greed index now: 48 of 100, neutral (the 45–55 band) · inputs read to 23 Oct 04:55 UTC · the market's mood from on-chain data, not a prediction · the seven parts →
Headline as of 23 Oct 05:20:53 UTC · agoOverview →
Price
$0.1767
-3.2% vs the pool's price before the window ($0.1826) · low $0.1671 · high $0.1916
Trades
184
-36.3% vs 289 the window before
Accounts
52
-44.7% vs 94
Volume
$95,615
-43.4% vs $169,021
Bought
258,152
-25.1% vs 344,621 wL1
Sold
269,233
-40.7% vs 454,344 wL1
Net wL1
-11,081
-2.1% of 527,384 wL1 moved · the window before -109,723
Bridged in
106,608
21 mints · 39.6% of the wL1 sold
Bridged back
211,681
18 burns · 198.6% as a share of the 106,608 wL1 bridged in
index at block 52,971,753; the window before is the same length, ending where this one starts.
Who traded as of Index head ago · Venue coverage ago · ETH funding agoTrades →
| History before the trade | Trades | % | Buys | Sells | Accts | Bought | % | Sold | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| first trade | 10 | 5.4% | 8 | 2 | 10 | 25,302 | 9.8% | 10,476 | 3.9% |
| bridged in | 21 | 11.4% | 3 | 18 | 10 | 10,830 | 4.2% | 125,763 | 46.7% |
| never sold | 66 | 35.9% | 59 | 7 | 23 | 138,438 | 53.6% | 39,553 | 14.7% |
| sold before | 87 | 47.3% | 46 | 41 | 15 | 83,582 | 32.4% | 93,441 | 34.7% |
Top 5 sellers · % of the 269,233 wL1 sold
| Account | Sold | % | USDC | Avg | P&L | Labels of its trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1620ba1f…8205 | 51,434 | 19.1% | $8,982 | $0.1746 | −$6,150 | sold before 1 · never sold 1 |
| 0x786726ce…7225 | 35,602 | 13.2% | $6,499 | $0.1825 | +$4,361 | bridged in 10 |
| 0x57a026d6…400b | 35,000 | 13.0% | $6,449 | $0.1843 | −$1,207 | sold before 11 |
| 0xea43e870…eebd | 30,000 | 11.1% | $5,288 | $0.1763 | no cost basis | bridged in 1 |
| 0x104c5f26…a46e | 21,808 | 8.1% | $3,988 | $0.1829 | −$5 | sold before 43 |
Top 5 net buyers · % of the 258,152 wL1 bought
| Account | Net wL1 | % | USDC | Avg | Labels of its trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x94baf564…3d01 | +38,674 | 15.0% | $7,248 | $0.1874 | never sold 3 |
| 0xda4e7511…bc7f | +31,737 | 12.3% | $5,700 | $0.1796 | never sold 14 |
| 0x0fb90de3…c6a0 | +23,950 | 9.3% | $4,400 | $0.1837 | never sold 15 |
| 0xbbc926e0…a823 | +13,435 | 5.2% | $2,419 | $0.1784 | sold before 4 · never sold 2 |
| 0x5a7a61fa…277c | +13,164 | 5.1% | $2,374 | $0.1803 | never sold 1 |
Largest trade: SELL 30,000 wL1 (11.1% of the side's total) at $0.1763 by 0xea43e870…eebd · bridged in: bridged in 161,999 wL1 before this trade, bought only 0 on Base (across its owner's 2 wallets)
Largest sale of bridged-in wL1: the largest trade above
Sold at a loss
13 / 27
−$7,841 · 47.8% of USDC received
In profit
5 / 27
+$5,440 · 22.2% of USDC received
No cost basis
9 / 27
brought the L1 over the bridge · 30.0% of USDC received
Top 4 of 27 sellers
56.5%
of wL1 sold · avg 9,972 wL1 a seller
Top 4 of 34 buyers
51.2%
of wL1 bought · avg 7,593 wL1 a buyer
Elsewhere: Osmosis (osmosis-1 · a route between assets, its sales netted per transaction; never added to Base flow)
118,308 L1 moved = 22.4% of the wL1 Base moved · bought 56,940 · sold 61,369 · net -4,429 (-3.7% of its own volume) · 2,590 operations by 65 accounts, median 13 L1 · against OSMO 60%, ATOM 12%, USDC 11%, TIA 7% · stable leg only: $1,165 bought / $1,167 sold · coverage: 56 of 56 ranges exhaustive, 0 present, 0 empty
118,308 L1 moved = 22.4% of the wL1 Base moved · bought 56,940 · sold 61,369 · net -4,429 (-3.7% of its own volume) · 2,590 operations by 65 accounts, median 13 L1 · against OSMO 60%, ATOM 12%, USDC 11%, TIA 7% · stable leg only: $1,165 bought / $1,167 sold · coverage: 56 of 56 ranges exhaustive, 0 present, 0 empty
ETH funding of the 10 first-trade accounts: 6 (60.0%) are in the watched set of 652 addresses (94.0% read complete); of those, 6 (100.0%) have a first funder on record: untagged funder ×6. The set is not the population: a figure about it says nothing about the rest.
Supply that can reach the market as of Unbonding queue ago · Unbonding records ago · Alerts ago · Recipients' outcomes ago · wL1 on GenesisL1 ago · Holders table ago · Unbonding outcomes agoUnbondings →
Due in the next 7 days
Due
201,492 L1
100.0% of the 201,492 L1 queued · 12 entries, 4 accounts
Sold directly, at the record
82,920 L1
41.2% of what is due · population rate 43.2% known + 2.5% estimated of 6,239,143 L1 over 291 observable completions; 2 of 4 accounts (65,795 L1) have their owner's record, sold 36.2% of it through its own wallets
Then sold by the recipients
6,751 L1
3.4% of what is due · 26.6% leaves to wallets that are not the owner's, and they sold 12.6% of the 1,479,139 L1 followed over 89 edges (restaked 64.8%, sent on again 0.4%); of what left, 57.7% (958,713 L1) went to wallets likely the owner's own: shown, not joined, still counted here
At those rates
89,671 L1
44.5% of what is due could reach a market · a record, not a prediction: the unbonding signal's hit rate is on the Alerts tab
Released, still unsold
614,732 L1 known + 54,005 L1 estimated
7.6% of the 8,845,981 L1 released across 474 completions · 95 owners, their own wallets followed, and L1 passed to another owner's wallet followed one hop · 668,737 L1 in all. Estimated: where a release mixed with other L1 in a wallet, each outflow is taken to carry its share of everything that left. Known is the part both readings agree on.
Unstaked on GenesisL1
426,938
63.8% of it
Held as wL1
237,960
35.6% of it · in the owner's wallets, as last followed (block 13,887,941)
In another owner's wallet
10
<0.1% of it · passed on and still unsold there: only a sale or a restake ends the pressure
Moved to Osmosis, no sale seen
9,073 L1
0.1% of the 8,845,981 L1 released · 18 releases moved by a key certain there, not sold since; their accounts re-read when a transaction moves their L1 there, checked nightly at 02:40 UTC, weekly if empty
Still there
3,828 L1
0.6% of "released, still unsold": in the owners' accounts on the venue now
Gone from those accounts
5,245 L1
57.8% of it: left unseen (a transfer out of the key or a route the index does not see); not a sale the index saw, not pressure
What the window's sellers still hold · 16 of 27 sellers are in the Holders table (70.8% of the wL1 sold)
| Seller | Sold | wL1 on Base | Unstaked L1 | Staked | Liquid ÷ sold | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x786726ce…7225 | 35,602 | 14 | 304 | 1,207,385 | 0.01× | active · large staker |
| 0x57a026d6…400b | 35,000 | 66,627 | 6 | 36,416 | 1.90× | active · whale |
| 0xea43e870…eebd | 30,000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00× | active |
| 0x104c5f26…a46e | 21,808 | 3,241 | 0 | 0 | 0.15× | active |
| 0xbb2f1c7c…3fd7 | 16,543 | 0 | 0 | 550,461 | 0.00× | active · feeds a seller, validator operator, large staker |
| all 16 found | 190,555 | 146,012 | 103,338 | 2,094,490 | 0.77× wL1 · 0.54× unstaked |
Bridged in this window
106,608 wL1
21 mints · 39.6% of the wL1 sold
Deposit cases
16
11 sold ≥25% within 24 h of 16 resolved (68.8%), 0 pending · the hit cases held 78.8% of the wL1 minted
Bridged back this window
211,681 wL1
18 burns · 82.0% as a share of the 258,152 wL1 bought on Base
wL1 on GenesisL1's EVM
22,980
851 keys · 34.3% one withdraw from liquid · 65.7% trapped under coin-118 keys · block 13,887,910
Inactive groups
298 / 6,159
4.8% of the Holders table · holding 5,005,915 L1 = 14.8% of its 33,808,240 L1
Inactive whales
12 / 23
52.2% of the whales (owners who can sell enough now to move the price 10% or more) · 89 large stakers more (the bar only with their staked and unbonding L1), 5 of them inactive
Unresolved
0
0.0% of owners, not yet looked at · 10 excluded (contracts, no verdict)
rates are what completed unbondings did on record (two allocations agreeing, undecidable apart); where a venue was not indexed a sale is a floor. Detail per completion, with recipients: Unbondings; per wallet: Profiles.
Liquidity as of 23 Oct 04:48:03 UTC · agoPools →
Spot
$0.1768
the pool's price now · the pool's state read at block 52,970,763
Sell 10,000 wL1
1.79% fall
returns $1,746 · avg $0.1746, -1.2% vs spot · <0.01% of the range's capacity
Sell 100,000 wL1
15.97% fall
returns $16,153 · avg $0.1615, -8.6% vs spot · <0.01% of the range's capacity
Whale threshold
59,501 wL1
one sale that moves the price 10% · <0.01% of capacity · a week ago 58,259 wL1, -2.1% against today's
Range capacity
36,210,929,971,324,640 wL1
sold at once pushes the price to the range's edge · 28641702813.74× the pool's 1,264,273 wL1
USDC held by L1 owners: $244,819 across 170 owners holding $1 or more (2,541 wallets read), 2.69× the pool's USDC now ($90,856); from outside the pool $169,969 (69%, decided), proceeds of the owners' own wL1 sales $50,866 (21%, decided), undecided $23,984 (10%: at most the proceeds of the owners' own wL1 sales) · Base block 52,929,286, read 22 Oct 05:45 UTC · if all of it bought wL1 at once, the price would go from $0.1767 to $0.7329 (+314.7%), a model of the pool now, not a forecast. Price impact
Changes to the pool's positions in the window: 1 removal of liquidity, 1 collection of tokens and fees, 3 additions of liquidity · the pool's USDC is recycled proceeds from L1 sold, never independent liquidity.
Staking side as of L1 ledger ago · Unbonding queue ago · Validator set ago · Unclaimed rewards ago · Reward outcomes agoChain →
Bonded
25,719,024 L1
39 active validators of 116 (33.6%) · 75 jailed
Bonded ratio
53.7%
of the 47,850,006 L1 supply · chain state 23 Oct 05:21:50 UTC
Unclaimed rewards
1,458,281 L1
5.67% of bonded · commission 8.7% of it · 41.4% with validators not bonded · today's stock: a claim makes it liquid
Queue, next 30 d
201,492 L1
100.0% due within 7 d · 0.78% of bonded
Completed in the window
44,003 L1
10 completions · 0.17% of bonded · sold 37.9% of it so far
Rewards claimed
54,012 L1
843 claims · 0.05× the 987,591 L1 delegated in the same window (156 delegations)
Redelegations
54,416 L1
6 redelegations · 0.21% of bonded · no timelock, not a sale
Queue by completion day: 25 Oct 4,999 (2.5%) · 26 Oct 58,791 (29.2%) · 28 Oct 27,000 (13.4%) · 29 Oct 26,405 (13.1%) · 30 Oct 84,297 (41.8%)
Where staking rewards go, by period · restaking is observable in every period; a sale only where the venue was indexed
| Period | Claims | L1 claimed | Restaked | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| before the bridge 5 Apr 2024 → 4 Feb 2026 | 20,036 473 wallets | 9,221,604 | 67.1% | ≥ 10.4% |
| observable 4 Feb → 22 Oct | 17,990 355 wallets | 4,611,404 | 46.4% | 22.9% |
Alerts fired in the window as of 23 Oct 05:19:01 UTC · agoAlerts →
| Kind · what it predicts | Fired | Hit | Miss | Pending | Unscorable | Hit rate (window) | wL1 in hits | All-time rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bridge deposit sells >= 25% of the case within 24 h of its last mint | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 68.8% | 84,018 (78.8% of the cases' wL1) | 63.5% of 342 |
| front run descriptive, no outcome | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | n/a of 0 |
| collector on GenesisL1 descriptive, no outcome | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | n/a of 0 |
| unbonding sells >= 25% of it within 7 d of completion | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | 23.4% of 235 |
| first sale the account sells again within 7 d | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | 25.0% of 685 |
| trade pace the price moves 2% or more either way within 1 h | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | 51.5% of 33 |
| whale buy the price is 2% higher within 6 h | 18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 24,222 (21.3% of the cases' wL1) | 41.1% of 146 |
| holder buying (never sold) the price is 2% higher within 24 h | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 21.4% | 24,096 (18.6% of the cases' wL1) | 41.0% of 351 |
| new buyer the price is 2% higher within 24 h | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25.0% | 12,573 (34.6% of the cases' wL1) | 39.6% of 192 |
69 detections in the window; outcomes are judged against the index's last block, never the clock, so an index that stops leaves cases pending. Evidence per row: Alerts.
Network as of L1 ledger ago · Network fees ago · Validator set agoChain →
Fees 24 h
2.40 L1
98 tx · 28 payers · top 3 pay 40.4%
Fees 72 h
5.71 L1
298 tx · 110 payers · top 3 pay 24.8%
Fees 7 d
12.61 L1
645 tx · 165 payers · top 3 pay 26.3%
Fees 30 d
169.81 L1
10,820 tx · 4,145 payers · top 3 pay 26.0%
L1 moved on chain in the window, by kind · 1,614,879 L1: delegate 987,591 (61.2%, 156 moves) · unwrap 219,704 (13.6%, 17 moves) · send 187,493 (11.6%, 96 moves) · wrap 106,593 (6.6%, 20 moves) · reward 52,783 (3.3%, 773 moves) · IBC out 31,856 (2.0%, 17 moves) · IBC in 27,631 (1.7%, 14 moves) · commission 1,228 (0.1%, 70 moves)
ledger read from the chain; below height 7,750,000 a zero is "not indexed" · cover: 35.6% of ranges exhaustive, 8.6% present (one witness), 55.8% below the index's reach (not indexed).
validator set: 39 active of 116 (33.6%), 75 jailed (64.7%) · chain height 13,888,028 at 23 Oct 05:21:32 UTC
figures from the index at 23 Oct 05:21:57 UTC · window 7d (7 days) · the previous window is the 7 days before it