L1 fell 4.3% over the last 72 hours to $0.1767, as sellers led by 23,815 wL1.
62 trades by 23 accounts moved $31,348, against 90 trades and $54,675 the window before; 23 dust trades (under $1) left out; each section below carries its own as-of.
Built 23 Oct 05:22:04 UTC from the data this server holds.
Fear & greed index now: 48 of 100, neutral (the 45–55 band) · inputs read to 23 Oct 04:55 UTC · the market's mood from on-chain data, not a prediction · the seven parts →
Headline as of 23 Oct 05:20:53 UTC · agoOverview →
index at block 52,971,753; the window before is the same length, ending where this one starts.
Who traded as of Index head ago · Venue coverage ago · ETH funding agoTrades →
| History before the trade | Trades | % | Buys | Sells | Accts | Bought | % | Sold | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| first trade | 3 | 4.8% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 170 | 0.2% | 2,095 | 2.1% |
| bridged in | 9 | 14.5% | 0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 74,886 | 75.2% |
| never sold | 21 | 33.9% | 21 | 0 | 8 | 52,964 | 69.9% | 0 | 0.0% |
| sold before | 29 | 46.8% | 13 | 16 | 7 | 22,623 | 29.9% | 22,591 | 22.7% |
Top 5 sellers · % of the 99,572 wL1 sold
| Account | Sold | % | USDC | Avg | P&L | Labels of its trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xea43e870…eebd | 30,000 | 30.1% | $5,288 | $0.1763 | no cost basis | bridged in 1 |
| 0xbb2f1c7c…3fd7 | 16,543 | 16.6% | $2,986 | $0.1805 | no cost basis | bridged in 1 |
| 0x57a026d6…400b | 10,000 | 10.0% | $1,841 | $0.1841 | −$296 | sold before 2 |
| 0x98107572…a2d6 | 10,000 | 10.0% | $1,790 | $0.1790 | no cost basis | bridged in 2 |
| 0x104c5f26…a46e | 8,546 | 8.6% | $1,524 | $0.1783 | −$19 | sold before 14 |
Top 5 net buyers · % of the 75,756 wL1 bought
| Account | Net wL1 | % | USDC | Avg | Labels of its trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5a7a61fa…277c | +13,164 | 17.4% | $2,374 | $0.1803 | never sold 1 |
| 0x0fb90de3…c6a0 | +12,740 | 16.8% | $2,300 | $0.1805 | never sold 7 |
| 0x140b5755…d611 | +9,498 | 12.5% | $1,682 | $0.1771 | never sold 1 · first trade 1 |
| 0xda4e7511…bc7f | +9,073 | 12.0% | $1,600 | $0.1763 | never sold 5 |
| 0x1f79239f…f077 | +8,229 | 10.9% | $1,496 | $0.1817 | never sold 3 |
45,169 L1 moved = 25.8% of the wL1 Base moved · bought 21,404 · sold 23,765 · net -2,360 (-5.2% of its own volume) · 1,014 operations by 35 accounts, median 12 L1 · against OSMO 62%, ATOM 11%, USDC 10%, TIA 8% · stable leg only: $352 bought / $403 sold · coverage: 24 of 24 ranges exhaustive, 0 present, 0 empty
ETH funding of the 3 first-trade accounts: 2 (66.7%) are in the watched set of 652 addresses (94.0% read complete); of those, 2 (100.0%) have a first funder on record: untagged funder ×2. The set is not the population: a figure about it says nothing about the rest.
Supply that can reach the market as of Unbonding queue ago · Unbonding records ago · Alerts ago · Recipients' outcomes ago · wL1 on GenesisL1 ago · Holders table ago · Unbonding outcomes agoUnbondings →
Due in the next 7 days
What the window's sellers still hold · 11 of 13 sellers are in the Holders table (96.3% of the wL1 sold)
| Seller | Sold | wL1 on Base | Unstaked L1 | Staked | Liquid ÷ sold | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xea43e870…eebd | 30,000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00× | active |
| 0xbb2f1c7c…3fd7 | 16,543 | 0 | 0 | 550,461 | 0.00× | active · feeds a seller, validator operator, large staker |
| 0x57a026d6…400b | 10,000 | 66,627 | 6 | 36,416 | 6.66× | active · whale |
| 0x98107572…a2d6 | 10,000 | 368 | 5 | 0 | 0.04× | active |
| 0x104c5f26…a46e | 8,546 | 3,241 | 0 | 0 | 0.38× | active |
| all 11 found | 95,877 | 110,298 | 973 | 2,004,725 | 1.15× wL1 · 0.01× unstaked |
rates are what completed unbondings did on record (two allocations agreeing, undecidable apart); where a venue was not indexed a sale is a floor. Detail per completion, with recipients: Unbondings; per wallet: Profiles.
Liquidity as of 23 Oct 04:48:03 UTC · agoPools →
USDC held by L1 owners: $244,819 across 170 owners holding $1 or more (2,541 wallets read), 2.69× the pool's USDC now ($90,856); from outside the pool $169,969 (69%, decided), proceeds of the owners' own wL1 sales $50,866 (21%, decided), undecided $23,984 (10%: at most the proceeds of the owners' own wL1 sales) · Base block 52,929,286, read 22 Oct 05:45 UTC · if all of it bought wL1 at once, the price would go from $0.1767 to $0.7329 (+314.7%), a model of the pool now, not a forecast. Price impact
Changes to the pool's positions in the window: 2 additions of liquidity · the pool's USDC is recycled proceeds from L1 sold, never independent liquidity.
Staking side as of L1 ledger ago · Unbonding queue ago · Validator set ago · Unclaimed rewards ago · Reward outcomes agoChain →
Where staking rewards go, by period · restaking is observable in every period; a sale only where the venue was indexed
| Period | Claims | L1 claimed | Restaked | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| before the bridge 5 Apr 2024 → 4 Feb 2026 | 20,036 473 wallets | 9,221,604 | 67.1% | ≥ 10.4% |
| observable 4 Feb → 22 Oct | 17,990 355 wallets | 4,611,404 | 46.4% | 22.9% |
Alerts fired in the window as of 23 Oct 05:19:01 UTC · agoAlerts →
| Kind · what it predicts | Fired | Hit | Miss | Pending | Unscorable | Hit rate (window) | wL1 in hits | All-time rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bridge deposit sells >= 25% of the case within 24 h of its last mint | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 75.0% | 41,300 (94.2% of the cases' wL1) | 63.5% of 342 |
| front run descriptive, no outcome | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | n/a of 0 |
| collector on GenesisL1 descriptive, no outcome | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | n/a of 0 |
| unbonding sells >= 25% of it within 7 d of completion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | 23.4% of 235 |
| first sale the account sells again within 7 d | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (n/a of the cases' wL1) | 25.0% of 685 |
| trade pace the price moves 2% or more either way within 1 h | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 (0.0% of the cases' wL1) | 51.5% of 33 |
| whale buy the price is 2% higher within 6 h | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25.0% | 5,737 (29.8% of the cases' wL1) | 41.1% of 146 |
| holder buying (never sold) the price is 2% higher within 24 h | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25.0% | 5,737 (15.7% of the cases' wL1) | 41.0% of 351 |
| new buyer the price is 2% higher within 24 h | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | none resolved | 0 (n/a of the cases' wL1) | 39.6% of 192 |
22 detections in the window; outcomes are judged against the index's last block, never the clock, so an index that stops leaves cases pending. Evidence per row: Alerts.
Network as of L1 ledger ago · Network fees ago · Validator set agoChain →
ledger read from the chain; below height 7,750,000 a zero is "not indexed" · cover: 35.6% of ranges exhaustive, 8.6% present (one witness), 55.8% below the index's reach (not indexed).
validator set: 39 active of 116 (33.6%), 75 jailed (64.7%) · chain height 13,888,029 at 23 Oct 05:21:38 UTC
figures from the index at 23 Oct 05:22:04 UTC · window 72h (3 days) · the previous window is the 3 days before it